Week one is upon us and there are some fantastic games on the slate this week starting with Thursday nights matchup that puts the Vikings and Saints head to head for early NFC supremacy. Favre may have lost his go to receiver, but this game should still be one for the books.
This is our fifth year and our overall record for four years is 639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS Our total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50
Week one we always recommend that you do as we do and bet lightly (we play a half unit week one) as the predictor takes a few weeks to get all the statistical data in place and right now some of the statistics are based on the 2009-2010 season. Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles
This Weeks Games
| Week 1 | ||||||
| Thu, Sep 09 | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Pick | Spread | ATS Pick |
| Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints | 3.000 0.846 | -2 | 3.000 --1.154 | NWO -4.154 | NWO -6 | MIN |
| Sun, Sep 12 | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Pick | Spread | ATS Pick |
| Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13.583 14.083 | -2 | 13.583 12.083 | TAM -1.5 | TAM -3 | CLE |
| Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills | 7.417 14.500 | -1 | 7.417 13.500 | MIA -6.083 | BUF +3 | MIA |
| Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots | 5.750 3.917 | -2 | 5.750 1.917 | NWE -3.833 | NWE -4.5 | CIN |
| Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans | 0.917 7.167 | -1 | 0.917 6.167 | IND -5.25 | HOU +2.5 | IND |
| Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 10.917 12.667 | -2 | 10.917 10.667 | JAC -0.25 | JAC -3 | DEN |
| Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 4.583 7.000 | +0.5 | 4.583 7.500 | ATL -2.417 | PIT +2 | ATL |
| Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans | 12.000 9.000 | -2 | 12.000 7.000 | TEN -5.00 | TEN -6.5 | OAK |
| Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants | 10.167 7.667 | -0.5 | 10.167 7.117 | NYG -3.05 | NYG -6.5 | CAR |
| Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears | 14.000 10.750 | -2 | 14.000 8.750 | CHI -5.25 | CHI -6.5 | DET |
| Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams | 9.250 15.750 | -1 | 9.250 14.750 | ARI -5.5 | STL +4 | ARI |
| Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles | 2.917 6.083 | -1 | 2.917 5.083 | GNB -2.166 | PHI +3 | PHI |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks | 8.250 14.333 | -0.5 | 8.250 13.833 | SFO -5.583 | SEA +3 | SFO |
| Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins | 1.917 10.667 | -2 | 1.917 8.667 | DAL -6.75 | WAS +3.5 | DAL |
| Mon, Sep 13 | Points | Adj. | Net Pts | Pick | Spread | ATS Pick |
| Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets | 3.833 3.500 | -1.5 | 3.833 2.000 | NYJ -1.833 | NYJ -2.5 | BAL |
| San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs | 3.667 13.667 | -2 | 3.667 11.667 | SDG -8 | KAN +5 | SDG |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie. (we buy half points when possible)
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2009 Archive
Overall 2009 Record:
153-87 (63.75%) Straight Up / 132-108 (55.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$880.00
4 Year Running Record:
639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2 Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
Note: Cross posted from SportzNutz.Permalink
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